Articles

The Pros and Cons of Mandated Health Insurance…and How Investors Can Profit

July 20, 2009 - publisher

It’s no secret that health care costs are spiraling out of control in this country. On average, we now spend more per person on health care than both food and housing. Insurance premiums are multiplying much faster than inflation, which prevents economic growth and leaves businesses with less money to give raises or hire more workers. While the quality and availability of medical care in the United States remains among the best in the world, many wonder whether we’d be better off adopting a universal government-controlled health care system like the one used in Canada. We have outlined some of the points that Proponents and Opponents of the Healthcare Bill argue.

Proponents make the following points….

  • The number of uninsured citizens has grown to over 40 million

  • Health care has become increasingly unaffordable for businesses and individuals

  • We can eliminate wasteful inefficiencies such as duplicate paper work, claim approval, insurance submission, etc.

  • Free medical services would encourage patients to practice preventive medicine and inquire about problems early when treatment will be light; currently, patients often avoid physicals and other preventive measures because of the costs.

At the same time, opponents argue…

  • There isn’t a single government agency or division that runs efficiently; do we really want an organization that developed the U.S. Tax Code handling something as complex as health care?

  • “Free” health care isn’t really free since we must pay for it with taxes; expenses for health care would have to be paid for with higher taxes or spending cuts in other areas such as defense, education, etc.

  • Profit motives, competition, and individual ingenuity have always led to greater cost control and effectiveness.

  • Government-controlled health care would lead to a decrease in patient flexibility.

  • Just because Americans are uninsured doesn’t mean they can’t receive health care; nonprofits and government-run hospitals provide services to those who don’t have insurance, and it is illegal to refuse emergency medical service because of a lack of insurance.

  • Government-mandated procedures will likely reduce doctor flexibility and lead to poor patient care.

  • Patients aren’t likely to curb their drug costs and doctor visits if health care is free; thus, total costs will be several times what they are now.

  • Just because Americans are uninsured doesn’t mean they can’t receive health care; nonprofits and government-run hospitals provide services to those who don’t have insurance, and it is illegal to refuse emergency medical service because of a lack of insurance.

  • Government-mandated procedures will likely reduce doctor flexibility and lead to poor patient care.

  • Healthy people who take care of themselves will have to pay for the burden of those who smoke, are obese, etc.

  • A long, painful transition will have to take place involving lost insurance industry jobs, business closures, and new patient record creation.

  • Loss of private practice options and possible reduced pay may dissuade many would-be doctors from pursuing the profession.

  • Malpractice lawsuit costs, which are already sky-high, could further explode since universal care may expose the government to legal liability, and the possibility to sue someone with deep pockets usually invites more lawsuits.

  • Government is more likely to pass additional restrictions or increase taxes on smoking, fast food, etc., leading to a further loss of personal freedoms.

  • Patient confidentiality is likely to be compromised since centralized health information will likely be maintained by the government.

  • Health care equipment, drugs, and services may end up being rationed by the government. In other words, politics, lifestyle of patients, and philosophical differences of those in power, could determine who gets what.

  • Like social security, any government benefit eventually is taken as a “right” by the public, meaning that it’s politically near impossible to remove or curtail it later on when costs get out of control.

Whether the healthcare bill passes or fails, we at PennyTrader.com are dedicated to helping our members make money. In fact, we have compiled a list of stocks we think could benefit from its passage. And at the same time, we have provided a list of stocks we think members should add to their radars if the bill fails. (more…)

The Risks of Investing In Penny Stocks

June 28, 2009 - publisher

The first thing you as a new investor should be aware of is the high risk involved with small cap investing. When you buy a company like CSCO, IBM, MSFT, GE, or DELL, you are buying a quality company, backed by big names and run by hundreds of managers and consultants. Small cap companies are often run by only a handful of people. Often there is the CEO/founder/president, perhaps a COO and a few other employees.  

It is this small corporate structure which results in the potential for huge gains. Often a small penny stock will see its stock soar after a big contract has been signed, or new partners announced. Any small shift in business can result in multiple increases in revenue for a small company, this is reflected in the stock price. News is in many cases a driving factor for fast rises in penny stock prices and jumps in trading volumes.

The opposite is also true, if a small penny stock company loses a deal, or is hit by a hard quarter, the damage to the balance sheet could send the stock dropping fast. Again, investors should be aware that news is a sizeable factor in the rapid declines in penny stocks. (more…)

Could Rising Interest Rates Derail The Economic Recovery?

June 10, 2009 - publisher

Now that an economic recovery appears likely, the markets have a new bogey-man they’re concerned about—Higher Interest Rates. In the government’s attempt to finance the economic recovery by selling billions of dollars of debt, interest rates have been steadily climbing of late. In fact, the resulting selloff in Treasury prices has not only pushed up their yields, but pushed up the all-important mortgage rates as well. This is already slowing down mortgage applications once again.

Another reason Treasury yields are rising may be because the market is anticipating positive economic growth in the second half of this year, coupled with a concern about inflation thanks to the huge increase in supply over the next two years owing to the growing budget deficit. (more…)

Is Hyperinflation on the Horizon?

May 27, 2009 - publisher

So what exactly is Hyperinflation? Well… in the simplest of terms, it is extremely high or “out of control” inflation in which prices rise rapidly while a currency loses its value. Other definitions used by the media include “a cumulative inflation rate over three years approaching 100%” to “inflation exceeding 50% a month.”.

And while there is a great deal of debate regarding the root causes of hyperinflation, most Economists believe that it is caused by a massive and rapid increase in the supply of money, which is not supported by growth in the output of goods and services. This results is an imbalance between the supply and demand for the money (including currency and bank deposits), accompanied by a complete loss of confidence in the money, similar to a bank run.

With the recent announcement by the Federal Reserve that they plan to pump an additional $1 trillion into the U.S. economy in the near future, it’s no wonder that hyperinflation seems to be on the minds of many traders these days. One such trader, Zachary Oxman of TrendMax Futures believes “We are facing what I think is one of the most aggressive inflationary periods in our country’s history. The minute these commodity markets sniff inflation, things are going to go through the roof and the dollar is going to get whacked.”

So could the recent run-ups in gold, oil, copper and many agricultural names be suggesting that hyperinflation (or at least very high inflation) is just around the corner? well….the financial markets certainly seem to be acting that way. (more…)

Is it Time for Oil Stocks to be Back on Your Radar?

April 28, 2009 - publisher

We think the answer is YES! There are many reasons to get bullish on oil and, even more so, oil stocks. One is the fact that many indicators are beginning to suggest an economic recovery could be in the cards over the next several months. The three largest consumers of oil including the United States, the European Union and China should start to see things stabilize and by the Q3 or Q4 of this year their economies should start to recover. This recovery will bring the world’s economic engine back to life and oil consumption should start to increase again.

But while the price of oil has risen from the $30s to $50, oil stocks have not really rallied much. Below we highlight the ratio of oil stocks (S&P 500 Oil & Gas index) to oil (the commodity). When the line is rising, oil stocks are outperforming oil, and vice versa for a declining line. As shown below, when oil spiked in early 2008, the ratio dropped to its lowest level in years. Then when oil tanked in late 2008, the ratio spiked to its highest level in years as oil stocks held up much better. Recently, however, oil has rallied and oil stocks have been stagnant, causing the ratio to come back down. At the moment, the ratio is resting just above the average since 1990..

We feel the breakout that occurred in early 2009, and the current stabilization just above the 20 year average suggest oil stocks may once again outperform the price of the commodity.

In interviews with more than a dozen small-, mid- and large-cap portfolio managers, most said they were taking the initial months of 2009 to increase their exposure to energy stocks. Largely thanks to the spending spree currently ongoing in Washington, these managers expect all that cash to create an inflationary environment for energy prices down the road. (more…)

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